← 2024/04/27 Taiwan Regionals by.GtCT
Fire Crux LorraineTier 3
at 2024/04/27 Taiwan Regionals by.GtCT
decks
1
(1.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
1-6-0
overall winrate
14.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.6%
avg ELO -9.8 per match
expected value
36.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
38.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1133
· median 1133
· range 1133–1133
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1043
Q1 1173
Q3 1390
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 17.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.4% | -13.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.7% | -12.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 10.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
