← 2024/04/27 Taiwan Regionals by.GtCT
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at 2024/04/27 Taiwan Regionals by.GtCT
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 17.4% | 13 | 9-4-0 | 69.2% | 64.7% | 65.0% | +6.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.0% | 11 | 5-6-0 | 45.5% | 46.7% | 54.7% | +2.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 10.9% | 14 | 8-6-0 | 57.1% | 55.6% | 53.5% | +1.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.6% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 27.7% | -14.3 |
| Water Allies | 6.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | +2.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.4% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 39.2% | -6.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.6% | +13.1 |
| Fire Erupting | 5.4% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.3% | -2.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.0% | +3.8 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.8% | -14.6 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.1% | -8.5 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.8% | +15.2 |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
Decklists · 12 from this event
The 12 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 5 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Purge in Flames, Honorable Vanguard, Sudden Steel. Losers more often ran: Focused Flames, Flame Sweep, Tithe Proclamation.
Show all 51 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purge in Flames | +0.80 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | -0.80 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | +0.80 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +0.60 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 2 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Sword of Adversity | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Fast Cure | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Spark Alight | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Chilling Touch | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meltdown | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Repelling Palmblast | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Erupting Rhapsody | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Crux Sight | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Rending Flames | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Fractal | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Disintegrate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tether in Flames | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fiery Momentum | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Warrior's Longsword | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempered Steel | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |