Wind AlliesTier 1
at Plenty of Games Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 13.8% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -1.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 13.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.6% | -1.8 |
| Water Allies | 13.8% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 59.0% | +5.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.3% | +4.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.3% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 40.9% | -5.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 8.6% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 39.2% | -6.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.9% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 57.7% | +4.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.8% | +23.6 |
| Water Neos | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.8% | +23.6 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 26 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tithe Proclamation | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Might of Humanity | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Eye of Argus | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Song of Nurturing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Imperial Recruit | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Weaponsmith | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 |