Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at Plenty of Games Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 13.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.4% | +8.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 13.8% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 66.9% | +9.7 |
| Water Allies | 13.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.8% | -4.6 |
| Wind Allies | 12.1% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 59.1% | +5.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.0% | +5.2 |
| Fire Erupting | 8.6% | 6 | 2-2-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.6% | -14.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.6 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Wind Beast | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 13 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 13 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Banner Knight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |