Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Regionals - The Banish Zone
decks
4
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
30
18-6-6
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.6%
avg ELO +3.5 per match
expected value
55.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1362
· median 1372
· range 1237–1468
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1183
Q3 1359
1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 14.5% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 46.7% | -2.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.4% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 59.2% | +6.9 |
| Water Fractal | 7.2% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 7.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.8% | +5.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.0% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 41.4% | -5.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.0% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 63.9% | +10.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Jin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.4 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.3 |
| Water Seiryuu | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Wind Cats | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Wind Exia | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
