← HVN Regional Santa Clara by Final Cut TCG

Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at HVN Regional Santa Clara by Final Cut TCG

decks
5 (5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
31 16-10-5
overall winrate
59.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.6% avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
53.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1438 · median 1419 · range 1327–1648 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1008 Q1 1177 Q3 1418 1736
60% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 16.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.9% +14.3
Fire Aggro 8.9% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 41.8% -7.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 58.8% +8.4
Fire Suzaku 6.7% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 40.4% -9.2
Water Genbu 6.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 41.8% -7.9
Wind Allies 6.7% 5 2-2-1 50.0% 50.0% 45.1% -2.8
Wind Shadowstrike 6.7% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.1% -0.7
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 4.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 66.8% +16.1
Fire Exia 4.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.2% -15.6
Wind Crux Lorraine 4.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 64.2% +13.6
Wind Seiryuu 4.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.5% +2.4
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.1% +9.8
Water Tera Kongming 2.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 42.2% -7.5
Wind Exia 2.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 44.8% -5.0
Wind Luxem Zander 2.2% 0
Fire Arcane 1.1% 0
Fire Dawn of Ashes 1.1% 0
Fire Diana 1.1% 0
Fire Kongming 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.8% +12.5
Fire Tera Diao Chan 1.1% 0
Water Crux Mage 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.4% -7.4
Water Luxem Assassin 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.7% +17.2
Water Ravishing Mill 1.1% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 1.1% 0
Decklists · 5 from this event

The 5 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 23 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Barter Herbs -1.00 0 1 0
Mnemonic Charm +1.00 1 0 0
Astral Seal +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Heavenly Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Serum of Wisdom -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Scry the Stars -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Harvest Herbs +1.00 1 0 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Scry the Skies -1.00 0 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Quicksilver Grail -1.00 0 1 0
Fertile Grounds -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Nascent Barrier +1.00 1 0 0
Disenchant +1.00 1 0 0
Indolent Leisure +1.00 1 0 0
Cometfall -1.00 0 1 0
Horticounter +1.00 1 0 0
Lunar Seer -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/22485/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric