HVN Regional Santa Clara by Final Cut TCG

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	15	16.7%	42-35-5	54.3%	50.9%	51.1%	49.6%	1306	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	8	8.9%	33-18-4	63.6%	59.7%	55.5%	53.8%	1300	—
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	6	6.7%	10-23-3	31.9%	37.5%	40.2%	42.3%	1259	—
4		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	6	6.7%	10-20-1	33.9%	43.4%	44.5%	47.9%	1232	↓ low
5		Water Genbu	Tier 2	6	6.7%	17-20-1	46.1%	53.2%	46.5%	49.9%	1326	—
6		Wind Allies	Tier 1	6	6.7%	25-16-3	60.2%	55.6%	56.6%	54.8%	1346	—
7		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	6	6.7%	15-18-6	46.2%	47.9%	51.2%	51.4%	1329	—
8		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	5	5.6%	16-10-5	59.7%	51.6%	53.4%	51.0%	1438	↑ top
9		Fire Cinderbloom Combo	Tier 2	4	4.4%	11-15-0	42.3%	41.3%	49.3%	49.4%	1355	—
10		Fire Exia	Tier 2	4	4.4%	8-13-4	40.0%	50.8%	44.5%	47.6%	1112	↓ low
11		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	4	4.4%	14-9-1	60.4%	57.6%	54.0%	53.4%	1292	—
12		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	4	4.4%	5-13-7	34.0%	44.6%	44.1%	47.5%	1211	↓ low
13		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	3.3%	7-9-0	43.8%	38.2%	48.8%	45.6%	1415	↑ top
14		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 2	2	2.2%	9-4-2	66.7%	63.2%	53.2%	53.0%	1533	↑ top
15		Wind Exia	Tier 2	2	2.2%	9-5-2	62.5%	69.4%	54.2%	57.2%	1237	↓ low
16		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	2	2.2%	10-3-1	75.0%	51.0%	57.1%	51.0%	1665	↑ top
17		Fire Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	56.0%	43.5%	48.9%	1070	↓ low
18		Fire Dawn of Ashes	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-4-1	35.7%	41.2%	46.8%	46.8%	1212	↓ low
19		Fire Diana	Tier 3	1	1.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	39.4%	47.5%	46.0%	1159	↓ low
20		Fire Kongming	Tier 3	1	1.1%	0-6-0	0.0%	28.9%	40.0%	44.0%	1069	↓ low
21		Fire Tera Diao Chan	Tier 3	1	1.1%	0-2-1	16.7%	34.9%	42.7%	43.7%	1144	↓ low
22		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	1.1%	5-2-0	71.4%	45.6%	51.4%	45.8%	1561	↑ top
23		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.1%	4-3-0	57.1%	49.9%	49.0%	46.8%	1333	—
24		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.1%	3-5-0	37.5%	49.3%	47.6%	50.3%	1336	—
25		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	1.1%	4-3-1	56.2%	46.5%	55.0%	52.9%	1223	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 15 decks · 16.7%
• Fire Aggro 8 decks · 8.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 6 decks · 6.7%
• Fire Suzaku 6 decks · 6.7%
• Water Genbu 6 decks · 6.7%
• Wind Allies 6 decks · 6.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 6.7%
• Wind Astra Cleric 5 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Cinderbloom Combo 4 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Exia 4 decks · 4.4%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 4 decks · 4.4%
• Wind Seiryuu 4 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 3.3%
• Water Tera Kongming 2 decks · 2.2%
• Wind Exia 2 decks · 2.2%
• Wind Luxem Zander 2 decks · 2.2%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Diana 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Kongming 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Tera Diao Chan 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 1.1%