← HVN Regional Santa Clara by Final Cut TCG
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at HVN Regional Santa Clara by Final Cut TCG
decks
6
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
39
15-18-6
overall winrate
46.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1329
· median 1342
· range 1198–1411
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1008
Q1 1177
Q3 1418
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 8 | 6-2-0 | 75.0% | 66.7% | 63.4% | +6.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.8% | +6.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.5% | -4.9 |
| Water Genbu | 6.7% | 6 | 1-4-1 | 25.0% | 35.0% | 32.3% | -9.4 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 43.8% | -4.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.7 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.4% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.8% | -0.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.9% | -17.4 |
| Wind Exia | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Fire Kongming | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
