Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at NA Nationals 2025
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 26.2% | 16 | 9-7-0 | 56.2% | 55.0% | 60.3% | +4.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.4% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -2.6 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -4.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 6 | 1-3-2 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -4.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.2% | 5 | 0-4-1 | 10.0% | 27.8% | 27.1% | -13.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 29.3% | -13.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 4 | 0-2-2 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.4% | -8.1 |
| Wind Allies | 4.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 27.2% | -21.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.8% | +20.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.9% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 76.9% | +20.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.1% | -13.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.2 |
| Fire Kongming | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seiryuu | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.1% | +22.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
Decklists · 8 from this event
The 8 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |