EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 貓腳印-桃園店 Regional.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 6 | 8.2% | 31 | 67.7% | 61.8% | 58.8% | 57.4% | 1310 | — |
| 2 | Wind Crux Hybrid | 1 | 1.4% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.5% | 56.7% | 55.4% | 1317 | — |
| 3 | Fire Crux Mage | 14 | 19.2% | 76 | 53.9% | 52.2% | 54.3% | 52.9% | 1325 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 5 | 6.8% | 27 | 55.6% | 53.6% | 54.2% | 53.3% | 1384 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 4.1% | 21 | 69.0% | 56.9% | 54.1% | 51.1% | 1307 | — |
| 6 | Fire Arcane | 6 | 8.2% | 34 | 52.9% | 51.1% | 54.1% | 52.0% | 1319 | — |
| 7 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 42.9% | 49.5% | 53.6% | 54.3% | 1312 | — |
| 8 | Fire Erupting | 3 | 4.1% | 18 | 55.6% | 56.0% | 53.5% | 54.7% | 1235 | — |
| 9 | Water Umbra Ranger | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 42.9% | 51.0% | 50.7% | 53.3% | 1212 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Neos Tonoris | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 57.1% | 55.2% | 50.5% | 50.7% | 1276 | — |
| 11 | Fire Neos | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 57.1% | 59.0% | 47.8% | 49.2% | 1237 | — |
| 12 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 5 | 6.8% | 28 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 47.5% | 47.6% | 1239 | — |
| 13 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 5 | 6.8% | 33 | 43.9% | 44.3% | 46.0% | 46.6% | 1224 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 3 | 4.1% | 16 | 43.8% | 49.1% | 45.3% | 47.7% | 1305 | — |
| 15 | Fire Diana | 1 | 1.4% | 5 | 10.0% | 27.0% | 42.9% | 42.2% | 1069 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Wind Allies | 12 | 16.4% | 47 | 39.4% | 43.0% | 42.2% | 44.4% | 1247 | — |
| 17 | Water Arisanna | 1 | 1.4% | 5 | 20.0% | 34.8% | 41.9% | 42.7% | 1123 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Lorraine | 1 | 1.4% | 5 | 20.0% | 35.3% | 41.9% | 42.6% | 1234 | — |
| 19 | Water Astra Cleric | 3 | 4.1% | 6 | 0.0% | 27.4% | 40.0% | 42.0% | 1098 | ↓ low |