← DTR Portland Regional by Mox Valley Games
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at DTR Portland Regional by Mox Valley Games
decks
4
(5.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
29
13-15-1
overall winrate
46.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.9%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
50.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1196
· median 1226
· range 1051–1278
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1004
Q1 1160
Q3 1345
1550
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.6% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 57.4% | +4.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.2% | +14.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.1% | -0.7 |
| Fire Suited | 7.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.0% | -10.5 |
| Water Genbu | 5.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.2 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.7% | -4.1 |
| Water Fractal | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Wind Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Water Allies | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.3% | +16.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.2% | -5.6 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Water Neos | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tristan | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
