DTR Portland Regional by Mox Valley Games

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	8	11.6%	25-25-0	50.0%	53.3%	50.0%	50.8%	1220	—
2		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	5	7.2%	15-10-3	58.9%	46.5%	53.5%	49.1%	1290	—
3		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	5	7.2%	18-15-1	54.4%	57.0%	50.9%	52.3%	1302	—
4		Fire Suited	Tier 2	5	7.2%	9-16-0	36.0%	39.8%	43.7%	44.8%	1242	—
5		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	4	5.8%	11-11-2	50.0%	43.8%	48.4%	46.6%	1359	↑ top
6		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	4	5.8%	13-12-0	52.0%	59.7%	47.0%	51.1%	1288	—
7		Water Genbu	Tier 1	4	5.8%	12-6-8	61.5%	55.3%	54.8%	53.0%	1366	↑ top
8		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	4	5.8%	13-8-3	60.4%	52.0%	52.3%	50.2%	1393	↑ top
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	4	5.8%	13-15-1	46.6%	53.9%	50.5%	52.5%	1196	↓ low
10		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	3	4.3%	8-10-4	45.5%	42.5%	49.7%	47.8%	1247	—
11		Water Fractal	Tier 2	3	4.3%	9-10-1	47.5%	54.7%	49.9%	51.4%	1326	↑ top
12		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	4.3%	11-5-1	67.6%	59.4%	54.2%	53.0%	1293	—
13		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	3	4.3%	2-10-0	16.7%	35.6%	45.8%	49.3%	1106	↓ low
14		Water Allies	Tier 2	2	2.9%	7-6-1	53.6%	48.4%	49.2%	48.3%	1262	—
15		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	2.9%	3-5-2	40.0%	40.7%	48.8%	47.3%	1182	↓ low
16		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 3	1	1.4%	3-4-0	42.9%	51.3%	46.9%	49.1%	1176	↓ low
17		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 3	1	1.4%	2-5-0	28.6%	48.5%	47.4%	51.5%	1064	↓ low
18		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	1.4%	7-0-0	100.0%	70.4%	60.9%	56.6%	1474	↑ top
19		Fire Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	1.4%	3-3-1	50.0%	54.2%	48.0%	48.8%	1100	↓ low
20		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 3	1	1.4%	3-4-0	42.9%	31.0%	47.2%	41.5%	1326	↑ top
21		Water Crux Mage	Tier 3	1	1.4%	3-4-0	42.9%	42.8%	44.1%	43.9%	1212	↓ low
22		Water Neos	Tier 3	1	1.4%	0-3-0	0.0%	34.6%	40.0%	44.0%	1102	↓ low
23		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-2-1	64.3%	59.0%	54.9%	54.7%	1179	↓ low
24		Wind Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.4%	1-5-0	16.7%	19.3%	38.9%	34.6%	1471	↑ top
25		Wind Exia	Tier 3	1	1.4%	1-2-0	33.3%	50.7%	45.5%	49.3%	1123	↓ low
26		Wind Tristan	Tier 3	1	1.4%	2-6-0	25.0%	40.1%	45.7%	48.2%	1201	↓ low
27		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	1.4%	5-1-1	78.6%	71.2%	56.4%	57.9%	1341	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 8 decks · 11.6%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 5 decks · 7.2%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 5 decks · 7.2%
• Fire Suited 5 decks · 7.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 4 decks · 5.8%
• Water Aetherwing 4 decks · 5.8%
• Water Genbu 4 decks · 5.8%
• Water Umbra Guardian 4 decks · 5.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 4 decks · 5.8%
• Water Astra Ranger 3 decks · 4.3%
• Water Fractal 3 decks · 4.3%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 4.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 4.3%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 2.9%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 2.9%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Tera Cleric 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Tristan 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 1.4%