Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Scry Games DTR Regional
decks
4
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
31
19-8-4
overall winrate
67.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.0%
avg ELO +2.5 per match
expected value
56.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1404
· median 1435
· range 1102–1642
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1149
Q3 1355
1685
75% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 17.1% | 6 | 5-1-0 | 83.3% | 70.0% | 62.6% | +6.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 14.4% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -3.2 |
| Wind Allies | 9.0% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 62.3% | +7.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 3 | 1-0-2 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.1% | +3.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Water Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 0.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.7% | -8.0 |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Tamer | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
