Fire SuzakuTier 1
at Scry Games DTR Regional
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 17.1% | 10 | 6-4-0 | 60.0% | 57.1% | 56.2% | +2.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 14.4% | 12 | 6-6-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.4% | -3.2 |
| Wind Allies | 9.0% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 69.8% | +12.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.2% | -5.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.3% | 8 | 7-0-1 | 93.8% | 79.2% | 76.8% | +12.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 5 | 0-4-1 | 10.0% | 27.8% | 25.6% | -14.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.1% | +4.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.0% | -23.9 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.6% | +19.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | +1.1 |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Water Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 0.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.9% | -15.4 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +6.0 |
| Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Tamer | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
The 7 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March Hare, Mottled Host | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Paragon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flickering Cinder | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignis Deus | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heated Vengeance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Coiled Fatestone | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Embercrypt Burn | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Unrelenting | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rococo, Explosive Maven | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Infernal Manastreak | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cinder Geyser | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Intensified Pyre | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Demolition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Da Qiao, Cinderbinder | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Broken Promises | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dazzling Courtesan | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Restorative Flame | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Suzaku's Command | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |