Wind AlliesTier 2
at Scry Games DTR Regional
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 17.1% | 9 | 1-7-1 | 16.7% | 26.9% | 36.8% | -6.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 14.4% | 9 | 3-5-1 | 38.9% | 42.3% | 43.0% | -3.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.2% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 59.8% | +5.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.3% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 30.2% | -12.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 37.7% | -7.9 |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.5% | +4.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +2.9 |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -13.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +1.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.1% | -8.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.7% | +2.8 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.5 |
| Water Genbu | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.2% | +3.9 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.5 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.8 |
| Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.3% | -7.4 |
| Water Tera Tamer | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -1.6 |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 82 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 82 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ghostsight Mare | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Horse | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Stolid Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shu Frontliner | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Unrelenting Warden | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Phalanx Captain | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reckless Slash | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Rebounding Gust | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Determined Spearman | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grande Aiguille | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ouragan Sentinel | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ciel, Mirage's Grave | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ceremonial Stormblade | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Leporine Masque | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lamentation's Toll | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Manxome Armoire | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rafale's Slash | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ciel, Loyal Valet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ciel, Omenbringer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wulin Lancer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chrysalis, Hazy Caterpillar | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nocturnal Blossom | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Armored Valkyrie | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vanguard's Reversal | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Savage Attack | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vigilant Sentry | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Might of Humanity | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rearing Rebound | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Powercharged Shield | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Savage Slash | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bandage Wound | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Defender's Maul | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bauble of Abundance | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Warrior's Longsword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Take Point | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |