Fire RileTier 1

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

The 52 public Fire Rile decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

• Jimmyle 85 cards · placed #1
• ProAnnn 81 cards · placed #3
• Perfy 85 cards · placed #4
• Dexter 84 cards · placed #6
• Guruthos 88 cards · placed #7
• GreyArsenic 83 cards · placed #8
• stevo7653 83 cards · placed #9
• barbarian 83 cards · placed #10
• Woon 87 cards · placed #11
• Noel 81 cards · placed #12
• Neoniclax 85 cards · placed #16
• ChemCollapse 81 cards · placed #19
• MitchSnipes 86 cards · placed #23
• APotato 88 cards · placed #26
• UBVOLA 81 cards · placed #27
• Parquer 85 cards · placed #29
• Deathatwar 87 cards · placed #30
• Joel 83 cards · placed #31
• HONGZAI1022 81 cards · placed #35
• Refat 83 cards · placed #39
• Chihuahua 83 cards · placed #43
• Kafit5566 85 cards · placed #44
• Inpacchi 86 cards · placed #45
• memories 85 cards · placed #46
• Sebastian 86 cards · placed #47
• Edmond 85 cards · placed #48
• Frashe 85 cards · placed #49
• FTWwings 87 cards · placed #50
• sungorio 90 cards · placed #55
• Manju 87 cards · placed #57
• Xaleonidas 85 cards · placed #58
• Polarcub 83 cards · placed #63
• Alex1783 86 cards · placed #64
• Blink 83 cards · placed #66
• Yushy 87 cards · placed #67
• MystoganZero 83 cards · placed #68
• 5m3xy 82 cards · placed #69
• AzNat 85 cards · placed #72
• HenkieTheGoat 83 cards · placed #73
• JoshH 85 cards · placed #74
• LeoYong 84 cards · placed #78
• Yogi 85 cards · placed #79
• Ne3tra 86 cards · placed #80
• Bhop 83 cards · placed #81
• Mumsky 83 cards · placed #86
• CalibeR 83 cards · placed #88
• JCee 85 cards · placed #94
• Drxomb874 85 cards · placed #95
• Evenchaos 88 cards · placed #96
• Zefier 85 cards · placed #99
• Nopher 87 cards · placed #100
• DeeJus 83 cards · placed #101

In 69 mirror matches (5 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 14 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).

Winners more often ran: Regal Inquisition, Striking Illuminance, Fire Resonance Bauble. Losers more often ran: Flame Sweep, Stalwart Shieldmate, Cremation Ritual.

↑ Played more by winners

Regal Inquisition

Winning decks ran 2.1 copies on average, losing decks 1.7.

Of 69 mirrors: the winner ran more in 34, the loser ran more in 22, both ran the same in 13.

Striking Illuminance

Winning decks ran 0.4 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.

Of 69 mirrors: the winner ran more in 14, the loser ran more in 5, both ran the same in 50.

Fire Resonance Bauble

Winning decks ran 0.2 copies on average, losing decks 0.1.

Of 69 mirrors: the winner ran more in 14, the loser ran more in 6, both ran the same in 49.

Tariff Ring

Winning decks ran 0.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.6.

Of 69 mirrors: the winner ran more in 21, the loser ran more in 13, both ran the same in 35.

Insignia of the Corhazi

Winning decks ran 0.3 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.

Of 69 mirrors: the winner ran more in 16, the loser ran more in 8, both ran the same in 45.

Excalibur, Cleansing Light

Winning decks ran 0.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.5.

Of 69 mirrors: the winner ran more in 17, the loser ran more in 9, both ran the same in 43.

↓ Played more by losers

Flame Sweep

Losing decks ran 1.4 copies on average, winning decks 0.9.

Of 69 mirrors: the loser ran more in 25, the winner ran more in 14, both ran the same in 30.

Stalwart Shieldmate

Losing decks ran 1.7 copies on average, winning decks 1.4.

Of 69 mirrors: the loser ran more in 27, the winner ran more in 16, both ran the same in 26.

Cremation Ritual

Losing decks ran 1.4 copies on average, winning decks 1.1.

Of 69 mirrors: the loser ran more in 25, the winner ran more in 16, both ran the same in 28.

Lorraine, Blademaster

Losing decks ran 0.3 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.

Of 69 mirrors: the loser ran more in 21, the winner ran more in 12, both ran the same in 36.

Spirit of Fire

Losing decks ran 0.5 copies on average, winning decks 0.4.

Of 69 mirrors: the loser ran more in 24, the winner ran more in 16, both ran the same in 29.

Nullifying Mirror

Losing decks ran 0.3 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.

Of 69 mirrors: the loser ran more in 18, the winner ran more in 10, both ran the same in 41.