10/11 Regionals - The Banish Zone

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	9	10.2%	33-20-5	61.2%	55.3%	54.3%	52.8%	1362	↑ top
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	7	8.0%	20-21-2	48.8%	47.1%	49.9%	49.9%	1256	—
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	7	8.0%	21-17-5	54.7%	52.7%	49.8%	49.9%	1317	—
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	7	8.0%	13-21-7	40.2%	37.2%	45.5%	43.5%	1251	—
5		Water Genbu	Tier 1	6	6.8%	21-18-1	53.8%	54.8%	51.4%	51.9%	1296	—
6		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	5	5.7%	18-12-3	59.1%	52.2%	53.0%	51.3%	1356	↑ top
7		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	4	4.5%	9-13-0	40.9%	44.1%	45.1%	45.3%	1179	↓ low
8		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	4	4.5%	9-13-0	40.9%	48.9%	46.7%	49.3%	1208	↓ low
9		Wind Allies	Tier 1	4	4.5%	13-11-1	54.0%	52.7%	48.1%	49.4%	1281	—
10		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	4	4.5%	18-8-2	67.9%	63.1%	56.9%	56.5%	1290	—
11		Slimes	Tier 2	3	3.4%	5-12-1	30.6%	39.3%	46.1%	48.3%	1140	↓ low
12		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	3	3.4%	11-6-4	61.9%	60.3%	53.5%	53.6%	1342	↑ top
13		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	3	3.4%	8-12-1	40.5%	44.1%	45.1%	45.9%	1158	↓ low
14		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	2.3%	5-7-2	42.9%	47.8%	49.5%	50.5%	1286	—
15		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	2.3%	7-4-3	60.7%	61.6%	51.8%	53.3%	1343	↑ top
16		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	2.3%	8-5-1	60.7%	57.7%	52.5%	52.5%	1406	↑ top
17		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	2	2.3%	3-9-1	26.9%	39.9%	45.0%	47.8%	1158	↓ low
18		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	1.1%	4-3-0	57.1%	59.0%	53.2%	55.9%	1091	↓ low
19		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	1.1%	4-3-0	57.1%	61.9%	50.0%	53.8%	1285	—
20		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	1.1%	4-3-0	57.1%	47.3%	52.5%	49.9%	1536	↑ top
21		Water Astra Diana	Tier 2	1	1.1%	3-4-0	42.9%	46.3%	49.2%	49.4%	1261	—
22		Water Fractal	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-5-0	28.6%	37.3%	46.5%	46.8%	1258	—
23		Water Umbra Ciel	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-5-0	28.6%	35.7%	42.7%	42.2%	1247	—
24		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	1.1%	4-0-3	78.6%	73.0%	57.7%	59.7%	1522	↑ top
25		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.1%	3-2-3	56.2%	47.8%	52.7%	51.1%	1242	—
26		Wind Exia	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-5-0	28.6%	41.9%	46.3%	49.0%	1101	↓ low
27		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-5-0	28.6%	42.4%	41.3%	43.6%	1084	↓ low
28		Wind Neos Tonoris	Tier 3	1	1.1%	1-6-1	18.8%	30.6%	43.1%	43.5%	1164	↓ low
29		Wind Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	53.7%	47.6%	51.9%	1101	↓ low
30		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.1%	3-4-0	42.9%	47.7%	44.0%	46.3%	1445	↑ top
31		Wind Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	1.1%	3-1-3	64.3%	43.7%	52.6%	47.5%	1364	↑ top
32		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-4-1	35.7%	51.1%	43.2%	47.6%	1215	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 9 decks · 10.2%
• Fire Aggro 7 decks · 8.0%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 7 decks · 8.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 7 decks · 8.0%
• Water Genbu 6 decks · 6.8%
• Water Umbra Guardian 5 decks · 5.7%
• Fire Suzaku 4 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 4 decks · 4.5%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 4.5%
• Wind Seiryuu 4 decks · 4.5%
• Slimes 3 decks · 3.4%
• Water Tera Mage 3 decks · 3.4%
• Wind Arcane 3 decks · 3.4%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 2.3%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 2.3%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 2.3%
• Water Astra Ranger 2 decks · 2.3%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Astra Diana 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Silvie 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 1.1%