← 10/11 Regionals - The Banish Zone

Wind Neos TonorisTier 3

at 10/11 Regionals - The Banish Zone

decks
1 (1.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 1-6-1
overall winrate
18.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.6% avg ELO -9.3 per match
expected value
43.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1164 · median 1164 · range 1164–1164 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1021 Q1 1163 Q3 1382 1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 10.2% 0
Fire Aggro 8.0% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 33.5% -15.8
Fire Crux Lorraine 8.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.1% -14.2
Wind Shadowstrike 8.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.4% -1.0
Water Genbu 6.8% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 5.7% 0
Fire Suzaku 4.5% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.8% +14.1
Wind Allies 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.6% -15.1
Wind Seiryuu 4.5% 0
Slimes 3.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.8% -11.5
Water Tera Mage 3.4% 0
Wind Arcane 3.4% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.3% 0
Fire Slimes 2.3% 0
Fire Suited 2.3% 0
Water Astra Ranger 2.3% 0
Fire Aetherwing 1.1% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 1.1% 0
Fire Oblation 1.1% 0
Water Astra Diana 1.1% 0
Water Fractal 1.1% 0
Water Umbra Ciel 1.1% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 1.1% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.1% 0
Wind Exia 1.1% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 1.1% 0
Wind Silvie 1.1% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 1.1% 0
Wind Umbra Guardian 1.1% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.6% -15.1
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Wind Neos Tonoris decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/32289/archetypes/Wind Neos Tonoris