← 10/11 Regionals - The Banish Zone
Wind AlliesTier 1
at 10/11 Regionals - The Banish Zone
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.2% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 36.5% | -7.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.1% | +3.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Water Genbu | 6.8% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 59.4% | +5.4 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.4% | +14.8 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Wind Exia | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 69 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 69 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Reimagined | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Sword of Peace | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Concealed Marksman | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Draught of Stamina | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aether's Embrace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ranger Strides | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backstep | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Four of Spades | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Huaji of Heaven's Rise | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Directive | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanguard's Reversal | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manxome Armoire | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ciel, Loyal Valet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Servant's Obligation | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chrysalis, Hazy Caterpillar | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Overpowering Defense | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |