Fire AggroTier 2
at 10/12 TGCShuffle Regional
decks
2
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-5-1
overall winrate
54.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.7%
avg ELO +4.2 per match
expected value
55.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1345
· median 1345
· range 1303–1386
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1214
Q3 1406
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 14.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 71.8% | +20.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.0% | +22.3 |
| Water Fractal | 7.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -2.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.1% | -11.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.0% | -8.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.5 |
| Fire Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
