10/12 TGCShuffle Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	9	14.1%	24-15-4	60.5%	50.6%	55.8%	51.4%	1406	↑ top
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	9	14.1%	18-14-4	55.6%	54.9%	49.8%	50.3%	1319	—
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	7	10.9%	16-20-1	44.6%	43.6%	44.7%	45.0%	1247	—
4		Water Fractal	Tier 1	5	7.8%	15-13-2	53.3%	55.9%	48.9%	51.4%	1301	—
5		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	4	6.2%	10-8-3	54.8%	58.2%	50.4%	53.2%	1185	↓ low
6		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	4	6.2%	11-10-0	52.4%	49.4%	51.4%	50.6%	1348	—
7		Water Allies	Tier 2	3	4.7%	8-9-1	47.2%	42.2%	47.2%	45.4%	1257	—
8		Water Genbu	Tier 1	3	4.7%	11-4-4	68.4%	61.6%	55.5%	55.3%	1365	↑ top
9		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	3.1%	6-5-1	54.2%	59.7%	55.8%	58.8%	1345	—
10		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	3.1%	7-3-3	65.4%	56.3%	54.9%	53.1%	1511	↑ top
11		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	2	3.1%	2-4-4	40.0%	48.9%	45.6%	47.8%	1224	↓ low
12		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-3-3	25.0%	40.7%	43.3%	45.4%	1180	↓ low
13		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	65.8%	53.1%	53.2%	1303	—
14		Fire Neos	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-4-1	25.0%	44.0%	46.8%	50.3%	1099	↓ low
15		Fire Oblation	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	51.7%	44.0%	49.5%	1196	↓ low
16		Fire Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-2-2	25.0%	39.4%	43.8%	46.1%	1220	↓ low
17		Fire Suited	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-2-1	37.5%	48.4%	43.3%	46.6%	1156	↓ low
18		Fire Tera Diao Chan	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-5-0	16.7%	36.5%	38.9%	42.3%	1316	—
19		Slimes	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-5-1	8.3%	24.6%	38.4%	38.8%	1099	↓ low
20		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	1.6%	2-0-4	66.7%	60.3%	53.1%	56.3%	1426	↑ top
21		Water Umbra Ciel	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	49.3%	46.1%	49.2%	1231	↓ low
22		Wind Byakko	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	43.1%	47.1%	46.4%	1237	↓ low
23		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	33.7%	47.6%	44.5%	1533	↑ top
24		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	43.1%	47.1%	46.4%	1237	↓ low
25		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	59.6%	51.6%	54.1%	1372	↑ top
26		Wind Tonoris	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-5-0	16.7%	38.0%	34.5%	40.6%	1002	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Lorraine 9 decks · 14.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 9 decks · 14.1%
• Fire Suzaku 7 decks · 10.9%
• Water Fractal 5 decks · 7.8%
• Water Aetherwing 4 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 4 decks · 6.2%
• Water Allies 3 decks · 4.7%
• Water Genbu 3 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 3.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 3.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 3.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Tera Diao Chan 1 deck · 1.6%
• Slimes 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Tonoris 1 deck · 1.6%