Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at DTR STORE CHAMPS
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 28.0% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 42.5% | -4.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.3% | -7.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.3% | +4.2 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 63.1% | +9.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.7% | -2.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +2.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Slimes | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.3 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.8% | -21.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncover the Plot | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peaceful Reunion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mercenary's Blade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Striking Illuminance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Juggle Knives | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |