Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at DTR STORE CHAMPS
decks
3
(6.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
6-12-2
overall winrate
35.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.3%
avg ELO -3.7 per match
expected value
38.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1191
· median 1141
· range 1127–1305
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1141
Q3 1360
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 28.0% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 34.0% | -10.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.7% | -12.8 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Slimes | 4.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 38.8% | -8.4 |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.5 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
