Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at DTR STORE CHAMPS
decks
2
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
2-12-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.5%
avg ELO -5.1 per match
expected value
39.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1106
· median 1106
· range 1054–1157
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1141
Q3 1360
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 28.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 39.2% | -8.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.2% | -1.7 |
| Slimes | 4.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.3% | -11.2 |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
