Fire SuzakuTier 1
at DTR STORE CHAMPS
decks
4
(8.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
31
19-12-0
overall winrate
61.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.4%
avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
53.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1328
· median 1298
· range 1229–1487
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1141
Q3 1360
1642
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 28.0% | 10 | 5-5-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.0% | +2.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.0% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 59.4% | +6.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.3% | -3.5 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -4.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.3% | +2.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Slimes | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.5% | +4.9 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.9 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
