Water Astra RangerTier 2
at DTR STORE CHAMPS
decks
1
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
1-3-3
overall winrate
35.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.5%
avg ELO -5.3 per match
expected value
45.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1234
· median 1234
· range 1234–1234
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1141
Q3 1360
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 28.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -4.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.2 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
