Wind AlliesTier 2
at DTR STORE CHAMPS
decks
5
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
34
10-21-3
overall winrate
33.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.5%
avg ELO -2.0 per match
expected value
41.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1146
· median 1159
· range 936–1408
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1141
Q3 1360
1642
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
40% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 28.0% | 11 | 3-7-1 | 31.8% | 36.7% | 43.7% | -2.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.6% | -2.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 36.2% | -8.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 36.9% | -9.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.1% | +4.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 53.7% | +2.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Slimes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +19.9 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.1 |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -7.1 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
