← Distorted Reflections - Regionals
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at Distorted Reflections - Regionals
decks
5
(7.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
23
11-10-2
overall winrate
52.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.4%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
53.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1281
· median 1237
· range 1118–1508
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1161
Q3 1310
1508
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
40% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Slimes | 7.9% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 57.4% | +4.8 |
| Fire Suited | 6.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.4% | +2.5 |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.0% | +4.8 |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.4% | +12.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Fire Exia | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.6% | -12.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | +1.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
