← Distorted Reflections - Regionals
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Distorted Reflections - Regionals
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 61.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 61.9% | +11.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Exia | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.7% | +4.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 68 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 68 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huaji of Heaven's Rise | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shangxiang, Fierce Princess | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Four of Spades | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Charged Mannequin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Rallied Advance | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Favorable Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Sword of Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Reimagined | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Second Wind | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Legion's Wingspan | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reconnaissance Scout | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Aether Dilettante | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Concealed Marksman | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Squallbind Pounce | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aether's Embrace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ranger Strides | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Teasing Aerocharge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridescent Aetherstreak | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiled Dash | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backstep | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seeker's Aetherwing | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |