← Weatherlight PTM store championship
Fire AetherwingTier 2
at Weatherlight PTM store championship
decks
1
(2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.0%
avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
45.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1237
· median 1237
· range 1237–1237
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1247
Q3 1419
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
