← Weatherlight PTM store championship
Wind Umbra RangerTier 2
at Weatherlight PTM store championship
decks
1
(2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-1-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.2%
avg ELO -2.6 per match
expected value
54.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1522
· median 1522
· range 1522–1522
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1247
Q3 1419
1532
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 16.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +2.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -20.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
