Weatherlight PTM store championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	6	16.7%	13-12-0	52.0%	55.6%	49.1%	50.7%	1256	↓ low
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	6	16.7%	13-8-4	60.0%	50.4%	57.1%	53.8%	1411	↑ top
3		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	3	8.3%	9-8-1	52.8%	43.9%	45.7%	43.4%	1425	↑ top
4		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	5.6%	3-7-1	31.8%	43.9%	42.0%	45.5%	1216	↓ low
5		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	5.6%	5-6-0	45.5%	48.1%	49.6%	49.9%	1275	—
6		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	5.6%	4-5-1	45.0%	48.1%	44.7%	45.8%	1366	—
7		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	5.6%	6-1-2	77.8%	81.0%	60.2%	66.1%	1337	—
8		Water Fractal	Tier 2	2	5.6%	6-5-0	54.5%	53.2%	49.0%	49.9%	1396	↑ top
9		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	5.6%	3-6-1	35.0%	49.2%	47.7%	50.4%	1263	↓ low
10		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-3-0	40.0%	51.0%	45.3%	48.6%	1237	↓ low
11		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.8%	6-2-0	75.0%	69.0%	58.0%	58.5%	1469	↑ top
12		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-3-0	40.0%	45.5%	48.2%	47.4%	1201	↓ low
13		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.1%	50.3%	48.2%	1428	↑ top
14		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-2-0	33.3%	50.3%	52.0%	54.0%	1047	↓ low
15		Water Zander	Tier 2	1	2.8%	0-5-0	0.0%	18.8%	40.0%	39.5%	1264	↓ low
16		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-3-0	40.0%	36.8%	43.3%	40.2%	1472	↑ top
17		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-3-1	30.0%	43.8%	43.3%	44.4%	1207	↓ low
18		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-2-1	50.0%	45.7%	49.4%	47.6%	1304	—
19		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-1-2	66.7%	45.2%	54.7%	50.3%	1522	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 6 decks · 16.7%
• Wind Seiryuu 6 decks · 16.7%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 3 decks · 8.3%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 5.6%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 5.6%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 5.6%
• Water Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Zander 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.8%