← [TCG] League PTM Online Grand Archive Regional NA 2/15/2026
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at [TCG] League PTM Online Grand Archive Regional NA 2/15/2026.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 4 | 4.3% | 26 | 63.5% | 55.9% | 54.4% | 52.5% | 1393 | — |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 3.2% | 16 | 59.4% | 52.3% | 54.2% | 52.6% | 1493 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Fractal | 7 | 7.5% | 47 | 64.9% | 51.9% | 53.5% | 49.9% | 1441 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 4 | 4.3% | 28 | 64.3% | 54.3% | 53.1% | 51.2% | 1390 | — |
| 5 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 57.1% | 48.1% | 52.3% | 49.9% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Ravishing Mill | 4 | 4.3% | 21 | 54.8% | 49.7% | 52.2% | 50.5% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 64.3% | 55.6% | 51.3% | 51.2% | 1508 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 5 | 5.4% | 20 | 57.5% | 52.3% | 51.2% | 50.9% | 1405 | — |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 8 | 8.6% | 48 | 54.2% | 49.1% | 51.0% | 49.7% | 1400 | — |
| 10 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 42.9% | 54.4% | 50.8% | 52.4% | 1115 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Astra Cleric | 3 | 3.2% | 20 | 60.0% | 52.7% | 50.6% | 50.0% | 1403 | — |
| 12 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 3.2% | 18 | 50.0% | 52.1% | 50.4% | 51.0% | 1291 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Horse and Taxes | 6 | 6.5% | 30 | 56.7% | 55.5% | 50.2% | 51.3% | 1363 | — |
| 14 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 4 | 4.3% | 17 | 47.1% | 46.6% | 50.2% | 49.3% | 1348 | — |
| 15 | Fire Umbra Diana | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.9% | 50.2% | 1425 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Wind Shadowstrike | 8 | 8.6% | 41 | 50.0% | 47.7% | 49.7% | 49.0% | 1374 | — |
| 17 | Water Allies | 2 | 2.2% | 11 | 40.9% | 47.7% | 48.0% | 49.6% | 1394 | — |
| 18 | Fire Oblation | 2 | 2.2% | 11 | 36.4% | 48.1% | 47.7% | 49.8% | 1280 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Wind Byakko | 2 | 2.2% | 11 | 59.1% | 53.5% | 47.7% | 49.7% | 1391 | — |
| 20 | Fire Suited | 4 | 4.3% | 22 | 38.6% | 50.4% | 46.4% | 49.8% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 1.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.2% | 46.3% | 48.0% | 1328 | — |
| 22 | Fire Tera Cleric | 1 | 1.1% | 3 | 16.7% | 46.3% | 46.2% | 49.9% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 2.2% | 9 | 44.4% | 50.6% | 46.1% | 49.5% | 1266 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Wind Allies | 1 | 1.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 51.2% | 45.8% | 49.6% | 1415 | ↑ top |
| 25 | Water Exia | 1 | 1.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 48.1% | 45.3% | 46.6% | 1360 | — |
| 26 | Water Aetherwing | 5 | 5.4% | 26 | 40.4% | 47.7% | 45.1% | 48.5% | 1368 | — |
| 27 | Water Slimes | 1 | 1.1% | 5 | 30.0% | 38.3% | 45.0% | 45.4% | 1373 | — |
| 28 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 2.2% | 8 | 31.2% | 44.3% | 44.5% | 47.5% | 1269 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 1.1% | 3 | 16.7% | 43.1% | 43.6% | 47.0% | 1376 | — |
| 30 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 1.1% | 4 | 12.5% | 44.2% | 43.2% | 47.9% | 1121 | ↓ low |
| 31 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 3 | 3.2% | 11 | 27.3% | 48.8% | 43.0% | 48.6% | 1263 | ↓ low |
| 32 | Fire Alice | 1 | 1.1% | 5 | 30.0% | 45.4% | 42.7% | 47.6% | 1292 | ↓ low |
| 33 | Water Umbra Alice | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 14.3% | 40.4% | 40.6% | 46.0% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 34 | Fire Tera Mage | 1 | 1.1% | 5 | 10.0% | 42.5% | 40.5% | 46.7% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 35 | Wind Neos | 1 | 1.1% | 6 | 0.0% | 39.2% | 40.0% | 46.8% | 1105 | ↓ low |