← Card Merchant Westcity Auckland Regionals (PTM)
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Card Merchant Westcity Auckland Regionals (PTM)
decks
2
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-7-0
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.3%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1176
· median 1176
· range 1159–1193
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1073
Q1 1194
Q3 1430
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 10.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Alice | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Water Fractal | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
