← Card Merchant Westcity Auckland Regionals (PTM)
Wind Wakeup ComboTier 2
at Card Merchant Westcity Auckland Regionals (PTM)
decks
2
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-5-1
overall winrate
54.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.9%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
49.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1390
· median 1390
· range 1288–1491
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1073
Q1 1194
Q3 1430
1599
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 10.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.6% | +11.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.7% | -14.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.5% | -9.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 7.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.2% | +8.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Alice | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
