← Vincent's Card Colosseum Sarawak Grand Archive PTM Regional
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Vincent's Card Colosseum Sarawak Grand Archive PTM Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.7% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 61.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 30.7% | -14.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.7% | +5.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.4% | +19.6 |
| Fire Suited | 5.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.2% | -3.6 |
| Fire Exia | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.9% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 63.4% | +7.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.6% | -10.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Wind Exia | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lost Providence | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Abnegation | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Calming Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |