← Atelier Tabletop Brewspace Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Atelier Tabletop Brewspace Phantom Monarchs Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 4 | 10.0% | 22 | 70.5% | 56.4% | 56.0% | 51.4% | 1549 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Wind Vanitas | 1 | 2.5% | 6 | 66.7% | 57.5% | 55.2% | 54.0% | 1341 | — |
| 3 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 5.0% | 12 | 75.0% | 58.8% | 54.3% | 50.6% | 1496 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 2.5% | 6 | 58.3% | 43.7% | 52.8% | 47.6% | 1642 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Genbu | 4 | 10.0% | 24 | 54.2% | 54.6% | 52.5% | 52.9% | 1396 | — |
| 6 | Water Neos | 1 | 2.5% | 6 | 50.0% | 54.5% | 51.8% | 53.5% | 1331 | — |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 2.5% | 8 | 56.2% | 46.9% | 51.5% | 49.3% | 1392 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 5.0% | 12 | 50.0% | 51.9% | 51.1% | 52.2% | 1306 | — |
| 9 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 2.5% | 6 | 58.3% | 63.0% | 51.0% | 54.4% | 1234 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 5.0% | 13 | 53.8% | 45.7% | 50.0% | 48.2% | 1417 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 2.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 40.5% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1333 | — |
| 12 | Fire Aetherwing | 2 | 5.0% | 13 | 53.8% | 54.6% | 49.9% | 50.4% | 1333 | — |
| 13 | Water Fractal | 2 | 5.0% | 11 | 45.5% | 54.4% | 48.4% | 51.2% | 1304 | — |
| 14 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 5.0% | 10 | 40.0% | 49.8% | 48.0% | 51.0% | 1318 | — |
| 15 | Wind Allies | 1 | 2.5% | 6 | 50.0% | 51.5% | 47.5% | 47.8% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Crux Mage | 4 | 10.0% | 24 | 39.6% | 41.1% | 47.4% | 47.8% | 1271 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 10.0% | 20 | 45.0% | 46.8% | 47.3% | 48.3% | 1280 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Diana | 1 | 2.5% | 6 | 41.7% | 53.9% | 46.4% | 49.6% | 1114 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 5.0% | 12 | 45.8% | 53.1% | 46.1% | 48.9% | 1247 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 5.0% | 13 | 38.5% | 46.1% | 45.9% | 47.8% | 1308 | — |
| 21 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 2.5% | 7 | 21.4% | 31.0% | 44.6% | 44.3% | 1316 | — |
| 22 | Beast | 1 | 2.5% | 6 | 16.7% | 38.3% | 43.1% | 47.3% | 1159 | ↓ low |