← Wilczek - Regional Championships - PTM - 28/02/2026
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Wilczek - Regional Championships - PTM - 28/02/2026.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 2.7% | 6 | 91.7% | 69.7% | 59.5% | 57.4% | 1349 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 2.7% | 6 | 66.7% | 54.5% | 55.2% | 52.9% | 1385 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 2.7% | 6 | 50.0% | 55.9% | 52.2% | 54.0% | 1152 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 4 | 10.8% | 21 | 52.4% | 55.0% | 51.5% | 52.7% | 1275 | — |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 8.1% | 18 | 55.6% | 48.6% | 51.4% | 49.1% | 1287 | — |
| 6 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 5.4% | 12 | 41.7% | 47.0% | 51.1% | 51.5% | 1122 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 5.4% | 12 | 54.2% | 56.8% | 50.8% | 52.2% | 1184 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Suited | 1 | 2.7% | 6 | 58.3% | 47.6% | 50.8% | 48.6% | 1350 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Fractal | 2 | 5.4% | 12 | 50.0% | 52.8% | 50.2% | 51.5% | 1285 | — |
| 10 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 2.7% | 6 | 50.0% | 52.4% | 50.0% | 51.1% | 1283 | — |
| 11 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.7% | 5 | 50.0% | 56.4% | 50.0% | 52.4% | 1218 | — |
| 12 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 5.4% | 12 | 54.2% | 50.9% | 49.8% | 49.9% | 1252 | — |
| 13 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 5.4% | 12 | 50.0% | 43.6% | 49.8% | 47.8% | 1330 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 8.1% | 15 | 56.7% | 46.9% | 49.7% | 47.8% | 1354 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 5.4% | 12 | 54.2% | 47.6% | 49.4% | 47.7% | 1300 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 2.7% | 6 | 50.0% | 52.6% | 48.3% | 50.2% | 1254 | — |
| 17 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 2.7% | 6 | 50.0% | 50.7% | 48.3% | 49.0% | 1182 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 2.7% | 5 | 40.0% | 52.0% | 48.0% | 51.3% | 1096 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 5.4% | 10 | 35.0% | 43.6% | 47.4% | 48.7% | 1127 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 2.7% | 6 | 33.3% | 48.1% | 46.0% | 49.3% | 1094 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 2.7% | 6 | 33.3% | 44.6% | 45.7% | 48.0% | 1118 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Water Genbu | 1 | 2.7% | 5 | 40.0% | 41.1% | 42.9% | 42.0% | 1262 | — |
| 23 | Fire Umbra Alice | 1 | 2.7% | 5 | 0.0% | 30.2% | 40.0% | 42.5% | 983 | ↓ low |