← Grand Archive Regional Championship! - Forest City Coins
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Grand Archive Regional Championship! - Forest City Coins
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.3% | +12.8 |
| Wind Allies | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.1% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 66.5% | +12.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.1% | -11.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 2.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.8% | -17.5 |
| Wind Neos | 2.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.4% | +4.2 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 21 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereal Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Increasing Danger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Young Beastbonder | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Creative Shock | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Capricious Lynx | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |