← Grand Archive Regional Championship! - Forest City Coins
Wind NeosTier 2
at Grand Archive Regional Championship! - Forest City Coins
decks
1
(2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
26.8%
avg ELO -13.4 per match
expected value
38.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
35.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1448
· median 1448
· range 1448–1448
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1154
Q3 1361
1638
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 28.3% | -20.8 |
| Wind Allies | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -16.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -4.2 |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
