← Grand Archive Regional Championship! - Forest City Coins

Wind Crux MerlinTier 2

at Grand Archive Regional Championship! - Forest City Coins

decks
1 (2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.3% avg ELO +3.4 per match
expected value
45.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1205 · median 1205 · range 1205–1205 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
994 Q1 1154 Q3 1361 1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 19.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.6% -3.8
Wind Allies 14.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.1% -12.6
Fire Aggro 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.9% -11.4
Fire Arcane 7.1% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 7.1% 0
Fire Slimes 7.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 68.2% +17.5
Slimes 7.1% 0
Fire Crux Mage 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.1% +13.0
Water Allies 4.8% 0
Water Crux Mage 4.8% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 4.8% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.4% 0
Norm Tera Silvie 2.4% 0
Water Slimes 2.4% 0
Wind Neos 2.4% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Wind Crux Merlin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/5310/archetypes/Wind Crux Merlin