← Grand Archive Regional Championship! - Forest City Coins
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Grand Archive Regional Championship! - Forest City Coins
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.0% | 7 | 1-5-1 | 21.4% | 31.8% | 38.7% | -5.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -1.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.3% | +19.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.3% | -10.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Water Slimes | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Wind Neos | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +16.9 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 39 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 39 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Armored Valkyrie | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Charged Mannequin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Attune with the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Eye of Argus | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Imperial Recruit | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Favorable Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Phalanx Captain | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |