Grand Archive Regional Championship! - Forest City Coins

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	8	19.0%	21-14-5	58.8%	54.6%	54.2%	52.2%	1316	—
2		Wind Allies	Tier 2	6	14.3%	10-12-2	45.8%	50.3%	47.0%	49.0%	1195	↓ low
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	3	7.1%	9-6-3	58.3%	58.1%	52.4%	53.1%	1371	↑ top
4		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	3	7.1%	3-11-4	27.8%	35.2%	42.1%	43.1%	1118	↓ low
5		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	3	7.1%	10-5-3	63.9%	54.6%	55.7%	52.8%	1348	↑ top
6		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	3	7.1%	6-8-1	43.3%	43.8%	51.3%	50.2%	1317	—
7		Slimes	Tier 2	3	7.1%	5-7-4	43.8%	47.3%	46.7%	48.2%	1261	—
8		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	4.8%	2-6-2	30.0%	40.2%	43.0%	45.1%	1158	↓ low
9		Water Allies	Tier 1	2	4.8%	7-5-0	58.3%	56.8%	50.4%	50.9%	1291	—
10		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	4.8%	4-7-1	37.5%	47.3%	45.8%	48.6%	1163	↓ low
11		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	2	4.8%	9-2-1	79.2%	63.7%	58.6%	55.9%	1436	↑ top
12		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-3-1	41.7%	49.1%	49.4%	51.6%	1364	↑ top
13		Norm Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	57.7%	50.4%	51.1%	1210	↓ low
14		Water Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	43.8%	54.5%	51.7%	1510	↑ top
15		Wind Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	56.3%	45.5%	49.2%	1205	↓ low
16		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-4-0	20.0%	26.8%	38.6%	35.3%	1448	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 8 decks · 19.0%
• Wind Allies 6 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Arcane 3 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 3 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Slimes 3 decks · 7.1%
• Slimes 3 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.8%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 4.8%
• Water Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.8%
• Water Ravishing Mill 2 decks · 4.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.4%
• Norm Tera Silvie 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Slimes 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Crux Merlin 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 2.4%