← Grand Archive Regional Championship! - Forest City Coins
SlimesTier 2
at Grand Archive Regional Championship! - Forest City Coins
decks
3
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
5-7-4
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.3%
avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1261
· median 1224
· range 1207–1352
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1154
Q3 1361
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.0% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 39.9% | -7.5 |
| Wind Allies | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.1% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 58.9% | +6.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 37.5% | -9.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.6% | -19.8 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 60.9% | +8.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | +4.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
