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Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at Illusive Online Webcam Regionals
decks
1
(1.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
6-0-1
overall winrate
92.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.8%
avg ELO +6.9 per match
expected value
61.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1307
· median 1307
· range 1307–1307
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
972
Q1 1233
Q3 1413
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 15.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 13.1% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 62.7% | +8.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Water Allies | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
