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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
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Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 15.2% | 11 | 7-3-1 | 68.2% | 63.3% | 54.9% | +2.1 |
| Slimes | 13.1% | 8 | 1-5-2 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 42.3% | -3.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.1% | 8 | 3-4-1 | 43.8% | 45.8% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.9% | -4.6 |
| Water Allies | 6.1% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 52.2% | +1.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.1% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 44.6% | -4.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 46.3% | -2.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.1% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 44.6% | -3.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | +1.2 |
| Wind Slimes | 3.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -1.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Water Beast | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.9% | -7.8 |
| Wind Diana | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.1% | +1.1 |
Decklists · 12 from this event
The 12 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Innervate Agility, Ensnaring Fumes. Losers more often ran: Arrow Trap.
Show all 39 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrow Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Mantle | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shadow's Claw | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Corhazi Outlook | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shadeblood Coating | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Mantle | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Combo Strike | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sirocco Operative | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Umbra Sight | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |