← Curio Grand Archive Mercurial Heart Regionals
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Curio Grand Archive Mercurial Heart Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 15.1% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 45.8% | -2.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.8% | -8.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Fire Erupting | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +14.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.6% | +4.9 |
| Wind Diana | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.1 |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.9% | +14.3 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Water Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 54 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 54 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Weaponsmith | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Adversity | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winbless Hurricane Farm | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deployment Beacon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Savage Slash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Synthetic Core | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Imperial Recruit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cell Vanguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mercurial Heart | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Banner Knight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cell Assembler | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Atmos Armor Type-Hermes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Phalanx Captain | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Drawn Blade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Opening Cut | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Warrior's Longsword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |