Fire ArcaneTier 1
at 貓腳印高雄店 台灣南部地區 R 賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 26.2% | 8 | 4-3-1 | 56.2% | 54.2% | 58.4% | +4.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.1% | -11.4 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 6 | 6-0-0 | 100.0% | 80.0% | 81.4% | +16.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.7% | +18.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.4% | -11.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.8 |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.5% | +12.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 67.1% | +12.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.3 |
| Wind Beast | 1.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +3.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Arcane decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 13 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 13 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purge in Flames | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Advent of the Stormcaller | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Power Overwhelming | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Under Fire | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Fire | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Storm Tyrant's Eye | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Fractal | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 |