Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at 貓腳印高雄店 台灣南部地區 R 賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 26.2% | 26 | 9-14-3 | 40.4% | 41.7% | 46.2% | -1.4 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 6 | 1-5-0 | 16.7% | 30.0% | 36.1% | -7.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.9% | +11.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +2.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.4% | -9.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 38.2% | -7.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 34.7% | -9.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.3% | +16.6 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.5% | -4.1 |
| Wind Beast | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.2% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 36.9% | -9.8 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 12 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orchestrated Seizure | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sharpen Blade | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Mantle | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Umbra Sight | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reprogram | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Corhazi Outlook | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sable Remnant | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shadow Resonance | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |