Fire SlimesTier 2
at 貓腳印高雄店 台灣南部地區 R 賽
decks
2
(2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
7-4-3
overall winrate
60.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.4%
avg ELO +3.8 per match
expected value
56.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1316
· median 1316
· range 1174–1459
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
835
Q1 1177
Q3 1387
1694
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 26.2% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 62.5% | +8.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.6 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.9% | +14.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.6% | -6.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
